Polygon reaches level that last time triggered a 275% MATIC price rally — Will history repeat?

Polygon (MATIC) worth reversed course to the upside on Could 10 after testing $0.794 as its interim help, thus rising by as much as 25% to $0.99.

The rebound occurred a day after the token slumped over 17% to succeed in $0.787, its lowest degree since July 2021, amid a world market crash led by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish insurance policies.

MATIC worth rebounded after present process 5 days of relentless declines, attracting patrons across the similar help degree that had preceded a 275% bull run final 12 months.

MATIC/USD weekly worth chart. Supply: TradingView

A earlier retest of the $0.787-level in July 2021 and the 0.786 Fib line (close to $0.61) of the Fibonacci retracement graph — drawn from the $0.002-swing low to 2.86-swing excessive — adopted up with MATIC rising to its document excessive of $3 by December 2021.

Subsequently, MATIC/USD may endure the same, sharp upside retracement within the coming weeks after rebounding from the identical help confluence.

MATIC fundamentals: Then and now

Nevertheless, loads has modified when it comes to market fundamentals between July 2021 and Could 2022 which will affect MATIC merchants’ habits. 

As an illustration, MATIC’s worth growth occurred final 12 months as demand for layer-2 options elevated as a consequence of Ethereum’s skyrocketing fuel and transaction prices.

In consequence, fashionable decentralized finance (DeFI) purposes, together with decentralized trade SushiSwap (SUSHI), liquidity service Curve (CRV), and lending platform Aave (AAVE), expanded their operations within the Polygon chain.

The whole worth locked inside Polygon liquidity swimming pools. Supply: Defi Llama 

However 2022 has been a nasty 12 months for cryptos. The Fed’s resolution to hike rates of interest adopted by the unwinding of their $9 trillion steadiness sheet has prompted buyers to scale back their exposures to riskier property. Sadly, the prospect of extra money leaving the market has damage MATIC, whose year-to-date paper returns had been practically 65% under zero as of Could 10.

Sadly, the prospect of extra money leaving the market has damage MATIC, whose year-to-date paper returns had been practically 65% under zero as of Could 10.

Associated: 10-month BTC worth lows spark $1B liquidation as Bitcoin eyes $35K CME futures hole

“It is a risk-off throughout all asset courses, together with crypto,” Daniel Ives, strategist at Wedbush Securities, informed the Monetary Occasions, including that digital asset buyers have “nowhere to cover.” He added:

“Some buyers are taking part in crypto like a hedge in opposition to inflation, nevertheless it’s buying and selling just like the Nasdaq’s Siamese twin.”

Silver lining amid chaos: Meta

On Could 9, Polygon CEO Ryan Watt announced that they’re partnering with Meta to create a nonfungible token (NFT) platform for Fb and Instagram.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg additionally confirmed that they’ve been “testing digital collectibles for creators and collectors to showcase NFTs on Instagram,” including that comparable options would come to Fb quickly. The hype may assist MATIC kind a powerful worth ground.

However from a technical perspective, MATIC dangers bearish continuation towards $0.615 in Could.

MATIC/USD weekly worth chart. Supply: TradingView

In the meantime, a bullish affirmation appears much less prone to seem until the token reclaims its 50-week exponential shifting common (50-week EMA; the pink wave) close to $1.37 as help.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.